"It's going to be delivered by blistering hot exhaust, and the force from that blast is going to try to both decelerate the booster and tip it over," Meyerson said during a presentation at the International Astronautical Congress in Guadalajara, Mexico, last week.
"If it tips too much, our thrust termination system will actually cut out thrust to the engine. In that case, the booster will fall into the West Texas desert and create a spectacular sight.
"If the booster manages to right itself from the capsule blast, it will continue to fly its nominal mission and hopefully come down to a final soft landing on its landing pad. I use the word 'hopefully,' because the booster was never designed for this type of a scenario. It is most likely going to end up in pieces on the desert floor," Meyerson said.
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Computer simulations show a "non-zero chance" the booster will survive, Meyerson added, but even if it does land intact, the rocket's flying days are over.
"We'll throw this historic rocket a proper retirement party ... and put it in a museum somewhere," Meyerson said.
The capsule likewise will not fly again, though Blue Origin has more rockets and capsules ready to continue test flights. The company, which has not yet started selling tickets for rides, expects to begin testing the capsules with its own employees aboard next year.
"We're really very, very confident in this important escape system," Meyerson said.
In addition to ground tests, Blue Origin conducted a pad escape test in October 2012.
"This upcoming flight will be our toughest test yet," Bezos said.
The company plans a live webcast of the in-flight abort test beginning at 10:50 a.m. EDT Tuesday.