If you're looking for the best best for staying relatively cool, you might go to the Great Plans, where the odds of having well-above-average temperatures are about even with the odds of near-average or well-below-average, at about 33 percent for each possible outcome.
It's important to remember here that the temperature standard here is a comparison with previous years in that part of the country, not between different regions.
"In other words, we're not predicting that summer temperatures in Maine will be farther above average than temperatures in Florida; we're predicting that the chances for an unusually hot summer are greater in Maine than they are in Florida," NOAA notes on its Climate.gov website.
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Though we're in the middle of a transition between El Niño and La Niña conditions--that is, between a mass of exceptionally warm Pacific water and cooler-than-usual ocean temperatures--that's not going to be the big factor in the heat wave, NOAA explains.
"Instead, the summer outlook is more influenced by short- and long-term ocean and atmospheric trends as well as mid-latitude sea surface temperatures in the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans," the agency says.
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